I’ve asked a few questions here before.
I have some questions for the representatives and staff about what happens to women after they register.
Question 1
I’ve heard that the probability of receiving at least one offer during the first month is around 25%—one in four. What is the actual figure? In marketing terms, I mean the penetration rate.
Question 2
Among only the group of women who receive at least one offer during their first month, could you tell me the average number of offers they receive during that month, if you know it?
Question 3
What percentage of all women receive at least one offer during the following month? I expect this to be considerably lower than the figure in Question 1.
Question 4
Among only the women who receive at least one offer during that following month, could you tell me the average number of offers they receive during that month? I expect this to be considerably lower than the figure in Question 2 as well.
There’s a book regarded as a bible in the marketing world, The Strategic Theory of Probability. It explains how to calculate the probability distribution of offers using the information from Questions 1 and 2. I’d like to try calculating it.
The Strategic Theory of Probability has been applied to attracting visitors to USJ and TDR. The penetration rate and average for USJ and TDR increase over time, whereas in the case of dating clubs, I expect them to decline rapidly.
Using the answers to Questions 3 and 4, I’d like to calculate that rate of decline.
I’m not planning to use this for anything; I’m simply curious and would like to determine the probability distribution.
Thank you in advance.
This is the person who previously went after Aya-san over the apartment issue, isn’t it? He seems to be a male member of another dating club.
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/15320
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/16577
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/16995
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/16997
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/17147
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/17194
https://universe-club.jp/help/questions/view/17195
As for this question, I can’t help feeling that it’s a little too self-serving to avoid patiently collecting the data yourself, then run it through statistical software—or write your own program, whatever works—and only enjoy the most rewarding part at the end. I’d feel that way even if the goal were merely personal interest rather than profit.
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The air is crisp and clear, and it really feels like autumn is here.
I’ve answered your questions several times before.
But I have a question for you:
What kind of person are you to ask questions like this, and why are you interested in these things? I’m not planning to use the information for anything—I’m simply curious.
How many people have you dated, and how many have you had sex with? Would you tell me? lol
Answer:
How should I know?
Do I really need to answer and tell you every little thing just because you’re randomly curious about someone else?
That’s about how sudden—and pointless—your question is. lol
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I hope you’ll forgive me for saying this, but after reading the question, the first words that came to mind were, “You idiot.”
So instead, I’ll answer by posing a question of my own.
I’m Joe. The other day, 21-year-old Miku (a third-year student at Kyoto University) and I were kissing on a platform at Kyoto Station. Even with the departure bell ringing and an announcement saying, “Passengers near Car 9, the train is about to depart. Please stand behind the safety line,” she wouldn’t stop kissing me and said, “Joe, I love you.”
Is it okay for me to take her seriously?
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“Could you share that with me? I’d like to use it as a reference metric for the KPIs of the dating club I run (or handle marketing for). I want to take down Universe Club.”
If you went straight to President Kida and greeted him with that, he might actually tell you.
P.S. Joe, I’m serious. Let’s believe him.
And even if—just hypothetically—even if he wasn’t serious, it would still be the kind of moment every papa dreams of, wouldn’t it? I’m seriously jealous.
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